Status : Verified
Personal Name ParreƱo, Christian Joseph M.
Resource Title Philippine quantum-resistant optical transport infrastructure strategy via forecasting by analogy and scenario building
Date Issued 10 January 2026
Abstract This capstone project addressed the critical national security imperative of safeguarding the optical transport network of the Philippines. As the foundational backbone of the national digital economy, this network required protection against the emergent threat of quantum computing. The research noted that current public key cryptography, which secured all sensitive government, financial, and personal data transmissions, was vulnerable to quantum attacks. This risk was further amplified by the "Harvest Now, Decrypt Later" strategy where adversaries harvested encrypted data for future decryption.

To preempt this crisis, the study developed a proactive migration strategy to quantum resistant cryptography by employing a novel dual methodological framework. Through forecasting by analogy, the project extracted practical insights from historical technological transitions. Concurrently, scenario building was used to construct and stress test multiple plausible futures to formulate a resilient and adaptable roadmap tailored to the Philippine context. The deliverables of this capstone included a comparative analysis report and a strategic implementation roadmap for ensuring the cryptographic resilience and long-term digital sovereignty of the nation.
Degree Course Master of Technology Management
Language English
Keyword Technology foresight, Scenario building, Forecasting by analogy, Quatum threat, Optical transport network, Fiber infrastructure
Material Type Thesis/Dissertation
Preliminary Pages
195.25 Kb
Category : F - Regular work, i.e., it has no patentable invention or creation, the author does not wish for personal publication, there is no confidential information.
 
Access Permission : Open Access